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AI Futures: The Cost of Doing Nothing
This is the third entry in CFM’s summer series on the perils and promise of artificial intelligence. Having bounced from one side of the Cone of Plausibility—an optimistic future—to the other—an AI dystopia—today we are going to explore a … -
A Letter from the Frontlines of the AI-pocalypse
This is the second in a series of posts I hope will help readers navigate the perils and promise of AI. In part one, I put on my happy hat and tried to imagine the best plausible future shaped by artificial intelligence. Now let’s veer to … -
Forecasting the AI Future: What’s the Best that Could Happen?
A sampling of recent pronouncements in the news: How can we possibly make sense of these conflicting predictions? Given this range of possible outcomes, how can you, and your museum, navigate the promise and perils of artificial … -
Revisiting Wild Times: The Loss of Nonprofit Status
In 2018 I published a scenario titled “Wild Times” set in a version of 2040 in which museums lost their nonprofit status due to a combination of political attacks, economic stress, and a global pandemic. At the time, I emphasized its … -
Forecasting 2022, Part 3: Build Your Own Adventure
When I sat down to write the third entry in CFM’s scenario set for 2022, I struggled over what kind of story would most usefully round out the collection. Scenario one (A Third Year of Waves) explores a depressing but entirely possible … -
The Long-awaited Tail
“With our imagination, the future is a place where anything, or one hundred things, or everything, can be different—even things that seem impossible to change today.” –Dr. Jane McGonigal, futurist and games designer I want to start … -
Forecasting 2022, Part 1: Waves Ahead
I’d hoped to be forecasting the post-COVID future by this point, but that apparently wasn’t in the cards. (Forgive me a little futurist Tarot humor.) Instead, it’s entirely possible that 2022 will become Year Three of the COVID-19 … -
The next COVID scenario: Delta Force
The near term future is looking much brighter than it was in March 2020, when I published my first set of scenarios exploring how the COVID-19 pandemic might play out. While the death toll in the US has surpassed 600,000 (a grim statistic … -
Mapping Uncertainty in 2021
I have been wishing everyone HAPPY NEW YEAR (in all caps) because I am so relieved to see the backside of 2020. But “better than last year” is a very low bar indeed, and we face many very hard months ahead. That being so, my focus this … -
Reinventing Museums: Pandemic Disruption as an Opportunity for Change
Looking for some good things in a terrible time, people have pointed out that air pollution plummeted as the world locked down, sea turtles are nesting undisturbed, managers are realizing telecommuting actually increases productivity, and …
Tag: Scenarios
Upcoming Events
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Basics of Fundraising Virtual Workshop
Event Date:Presented by: American Association for State and Local History (AASLH) -
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From Idea to Acceptance: How to Submit a Winning Annual Meeting Session Proposal
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